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Projection of the daily travel of an ageing population: The Paris and Montreal case, 1975-2020

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Titre

Projection of the daily travel of an ageing population: The Paris and Montreal case, 1975-2020

Sujet

[SHS:SOCIO] Humanities and Social Sciences/Sociology
POPULATION
MOBILITE (PERS)
SOCIOLOGIE
ZONE URBAINE
PERSONNE AGEE

Description

Ageing of the population, urban sprawl and car dependency will change travel patterns. The main objective of this paper is to give elements for a better understanding of the impact of changing demographics on the long term evolution of daily mobility using demographic-based models to forecast, for the elderly population, car-ownership, trip frequency, distance traveled, average trip distance. A second objective is to measure the impact of the long term tendencies observed on the appearance of new needs of travel demand such as a rapid increase of demand-responsive transport. The paper compares two agglomerations, both in a strong ageing process, but in quite different sociocultural contexts: a large European metropolis: Paris, and a medium sized north-american city: Montreal. Many common conclusions derived from the two different cases studies reinforce the possibility of generalizing the conclusions to other situations.

Créateur

Dejoux, Virginie
Bussiere, Yves
Madre, Jean-Loup
Armoogum, Jimmy

Source

Transport Reviews
ISSN:0144-1647

Date

2010

Langue

ENG

Type

article in peer-reviewed journal

Identifiant

http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00559492
DOI: 10.1080/01441640903166724
http://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/55/94/92/PDF/Projection_of_the_daily_travel_of_an_ageing_population.pdf